Unburdened By What Has Been
History is a great teacher if progressives would only listen and learn.
A point on the unrealized gains tax: allegedly it only applies to people with over 100 million in annual asset growth. As people begin to find ways to avoid or offset such unrealized gains, the money flowing into government coffers begins to dry up. The thing that won't dry up is the government's addiction to spending, so to keep the party going, the threshold will be lowered over time. It will get to people with less than 100 million in asset growth within ten years.
There is a relatively recent example of how raising taxes beyond a certain point, especially on "the rich", doesn't increase tax revenues, it decreases them.
In 2011, the British government enacted a fifty precent tax rise. It didn’t work out so well.
See this 2012 Wall Street Journal editorial, David Cameron’s Tax Lesson: A 50% Tax Rate Yields Less Revenue Than Advertised:
“Speaking of higher taxes (and President Obama always does), there’s news from once fair Britannia.
Preliminary figures out this week show that Britain’s 50% top marginal income-tax rate may have reduced tax revenue from top earners by as much as 5%, compared to the old 40% top rate. Tax revenue from those filing self-assessments due January 31 was down some £500 million versus last year…
What this week’s numbers teach, however, is that Britain’s richest taxpayers are simply shifting their incomes, or themselves, offshore, or deferring income, or otherwise arranging their affairs to avoid the confiscatory new top tax rate. Maybe that’s unfair, too—the rich are usually better at protecting their assets—but it’s the predictable consequence of a tax rate whose animating purposes are envy and spite.
There’s a lesson here for the Obama Administration, not that it is likely to heed it any more than Mr. Cameron.”
This isn’t something that is unknown to students of the Austrian School of Economics – those of us who follow contemporary conservative economists like Walter Williams, Thomas Sowell, Milton Friedman and thought leaders like F.A. Hayek, John Locke, and Adam Smith.
As Thomas Sowell points out, Democrats are completely unburdened by the weight of knowledge of history - unburdened by what has been, so to speak. We have seen this movie, and it premiered in 1921 – the “rich” won’t stop working but their capital will:
Ninety years ago — in 1921 — federal income tax policies reached an absurdity that many people today seem to want to repeat. Those who believe in high taxes on “the rich” got their way. The tax rate on people in the top income bracket was 73 percent in 1921. On the other hand, the rich also got their way: They didn’t actually pay those taxes.
The number of people with taxable incomes of $300,000 a year and up — equivalent to far more than a million dollars in today’s money — declined from more than a thousand people in 1916 to less than three hundred in 1921. Were the rich all going broke?
It might look that way. More than four-fifths of the total taxable income earned by people making $300,000 a year and up vanished into thin air. So did the tax revenues that the government hoped to collect with high tax rates on the top incomes.
What happened was no mystery to Secretary of the Treasury Andrew Mellon. He pointed out that vast amounts of money that might have been invested in the economy were instead being invested in tax-exempt securities, such as municipal bonds.”
Anyone who says with a straight face that government deserves to take 50 cents of every dollar in income instead of 35 cents - and tax money that was never real - to fund spending without end is an idiot, an ideologue, or a liar…or more likely an economically and historically ignorant “progressive”.
Never has it been truer that people who ignore history are doomed to repeat it.
This is discussed in great detail in Art Laffer’s thoroughly enjoyable book “Taxes Have Consequences,” and illustrated with his “Laffer Curve,” which gained recognition during the Reagan admin., when he was appointed to Reagan’s Economic Policy Advisory board.
Later, he was also an economic advisor to Trump.
https://accf.org/2024/05/29/a-con
https://www.heritage.org/taxes/report/the-laffer-curve-past-present-and-future
I am a semi retired CPA, specializing in tax accounting. When I started in 1980 the top rate was 70%. Ronald Reagan’s administration dropped rates dramatically and revenue increased. How? Because when the rates were so ridiculous, high earners “invested” in tax shelters. They were poor investments but the tax benefits shot the ROI up. At the time interest was deductible as well. The reduced rates came with restrictions on tax shelter closing the “loopholes” that existed at the time.
People are not stupid and they are not greedy. They are willing to pay taxes but when it gets confiscatory they figure a way around them.
One of the firs things that Trump said that turned me from a reluctant supporter (I wanted Cruz or Rubio in 2016) was with regard to taxes. When Obama wanted to increase capital gains taxes he was told revenue would not increase. He didn’t care. The objective was to punish the wealthy. In contrast Trump suggested not collecting taxes from low earners. I was of a kind that “everyone should have skin in the game.” Instead Trump said the purpose of taxes was to raise money. It cost more to collect the taxes on low income people than would be collected. So let’s don’t.